Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.443123 1.645892 1.866761 2.125200 2.419326 2.743685 3.128598
2025-02-02 1.183239 1.472210 1.814860 2.251109 2.791931 3.440701 4.278744
2025-02-09 1.030242 1.361462 1.777962 2.340143 3.079560 4.019692 5.307476
2025-02-16 0.905158 1.256790 1.720773 2.377801 3.284923 4.494601 6.233266
2025-02-23 0.783453 1.135560 1.620019 2.335223 3.365160 4.796657 6.941917
2025-03-02 0.693664 1.044884 1.546575 2.315384 3.465102 5.123412 7.703331
2025-03-09 0.627955 0.979756 1.499764 2.324274 3.600510 5.504626 8.569878
2025-03-16 0.572582 0.922960 1.457547 2.332381 3.730442 5.882702 9.458822
2025-03-23 0.528505 0.878308 1.428092 2.354801 3.880679 6.299580 10.439550
2025-03-30 0.475295 0.812986 1.358818 2.304937 3.907363 6.518902 11.115358
2025-04-06 0.429195 0.754510 1.294515 2.255700 3.927844 6.725534 11.782112
2025-04-13 0.384229 0.693352 1.219679 2.180553 3.895453 6.837512 12.291500
2025-04-20 0.377448 0.699186 1.261105 2.313316 4.239935 7.629214 14.073732
2025-04-27 0.370588 0.704226 1.301547 2.448055 4.600367 8.480383 16.042681
2025-05-04 0.358453 0.698099 1.320849 2.544943 4.898720 9.242856 17.913492
2025-05-11 0.339716 0.677490 1.311231 2.585886 5.094350 9.830260 19.502419
2025-05-18 0.311857 0.636395 1.259043 2.539590 5.116886 10.090940 20.478023
2025-05-25 0.289649 0.604382 1.221398 2.518019 5.185009 10.442865 21.661598
2025-06-01 0.272944 0.581928 1.200463 2.527686 5.315642 10.926299 23.149855
2025-06-08 0.257558 0.560753 1.180160 2.536501 5.444491 11.415020 24.688822
2025-06-15 0.244923 0.544232 1.167918 2.560877 5.607420 11.985438 26.447543
2025-06-22 0.226103 0.512539 1.121058 2.506660 5.596677 12.190076 27.431615
2025-06-29 0.208975 0.483037 1.076367 2.453124 5.582333 12.384654 28.407989